Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Northam r4 Super Romani ; Is pretty green but has showed ability without much luck at both starts to date. Gets out to a mile and draws for a great run . The favourite I Love Your Smile is 8 weeks between runs which is an ask , especially over 1600m. Really think they should be the other way round in betting.

Northam r5 Riding Hood Fame (Place) ; 7yo mare who has only won 1 race from 67 starts but has had 20 starts this track & distance for that win and a further 8 placings. The mile is her sweet spot and she’s certain to run her usual honest race , hopefully into the placings again . Will go 2 by 98 % split just in case she cracks it for that elusive win number 2.

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Sunday Prayers

Kalgoorlie Quaddie (r4-7) ; FD/(4.)​7/1/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​8.​9.​10.​11 . $120 for 100% ($40 for 33% n4 2nd leg)

PRINCESS CHUNK (r5) and PLAYTHATFUNKYMUSIC (r6) are the two horses I like on the program. Apprentice Brayden Gaerth rides both for Kal’s biggest stable . He rides plenty of winners , especially at these country meetings but I’m having a break of tipping/ backing short priced favourites relying on speed maps to be executed. Yesterdays tip was a fine example with what looked a solid bet running last , still looking for a run as I type. At least with quaddies you are a chance of a big return vs doubling your money backing a favourite to win. Princess Chunk has to get across from a sticky gate to warrant the price and stablemate Just Got Paid has barrier 1 and CJP. Playthatfunkymusic showed ability in the metro/provincial area but did too much wrong. Has handled Kal Racing much better and on paper should get every chance to win again. If only it always worked out like that! He is the Best Bet if your wanting a win bet selection.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r3 Cosmopolitan Girl ; The Plan ; Straight to the front with not much pressure to do so and that scenario over 1100m with an Easterly blowing sees her very hard to beat. To Rise Again loves running a place over 1000m. Hoping they take a sit from barrier 1 to give him every chance to run out the extra 100m , more importantly for us , enabling Cosmo to find the front without burning fuel. Harmika was a good run first up , she’s short enough considering the map disadvantage.

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Pinny Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Kohli ; Great betting race where you could make a case for most. Kholi has finished in the top 3 at 8 of his last 9 starts and the one miss he ran 4th. You know what your going to get , sit midfield and come with a honest run down the straight. The 3 kg claim gives him a great opportunity at $6 each way.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Northam r1 Canny Rock ; It’s last in a 3yo 62+ when held up for clear running and only beaten 1.5 lengths was good enough to be winning this maiden. Star Power the obvious danger but I feel the fav will be stronger over the final 100m.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Leica Jaguar ; Has gone back to back in very similar races after a long run of outs. Should settle just behind the speed and get past the leaders for a third win .

Best Value Ascot r3 Kelvinator ; Beat up on the older horses this track and distance in a moderate c1 by holding the lead and racing away. . While this is harder back to 3yo company , it’s a very even race and I expect Dyson to again boot through from barrier 1. A couple might have a look but doubt they press the issue if he makes his intentions clear. From there he will be hard to run down on an each way basis.

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Tuesday Tips

Ascot r1 Snippenova ; The last time she led she fought off all but the smart Street Parade. Has worked too hard in two runs since. She is very quick early so drawn 1 I can’t see anything crossing her if Paul Harvey desires. If it turns into a tactical affair then being on the leader is a good advantage , especially over 1000m. The favourite was impressive on debut when finding the outside fence down the Pinjarra straight 1000m. This is a different set up so willing to risk at odds on with the apprentice on . None of the 5 would actually shock .

Ascot r2 Outfield ; Has gone close at his two starts , both down the Pinjarra Straight 1000m. Gets barrier one around a bend here where he can lead or box seat. The favourite Military Power has slightly stronger form lines but will have to work across from the outside barrier.

Best Bet Ascot 8 Wicked Fox ; Has been given every possible last two starts , winning a c1 and getting bobbed last start when the winner got an even peachier ride. Both runs have been at this track & distance and he maps to get another great run. He lacks a killer punch so the fact he is close enough to each way odds is important as a best bet. I suggest 40/60 % split.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Albany r1 Authoritive ; This maiden is almost identical to a 1100m maiden two weeks ago. 2nd favourite Looks set the pace , kicked and was run down late by a 30 start maiden. Authoritive was on debut and charged into 3rd from the back , beaten less than a length. Backing the extra 130m , addition of winkers and natural improvement to reverse the result. Coming wide from last at Albany is not easy to do , add the swap from senior to apprentice and it’s not a foregone conclusion. Medium size stake for mine.

Early Quaddie (r1-4) ;(2) 3/6/1.​2.​4.​5.​6/1.​4.​5.​8.​9.​10 $30 for 100% ( $15 for 50% with n 2 first leg)

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Rusty Dreams ; Always thought she was a very nice filly , just felt she was a little under the odds last two wins but she made a mockery of that by not only handling the step up in class both times but winning with something in hand. Other winners have come from both races . Can’t see 1600m being a disadvantage , barrrier 1 see’s her kick through and lead or box seat without doing any work and she should remain undefeated.

Ascot R8 Kings Sicario ; Came from the clouds first up and won pulling away from them in a 1200m maiden .Then ran on well into 3rd behind Rusty Dreams over 1400m so logically if she is as good as we think she is then he should be hard to beat in graduation company over 1600m.

Quaddie ( r6-9) ; 4.​5.​6.​8/1.​3.​5.​6.​8.​10.​11/10/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​11 $196 for 100%

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Pinny Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra R6 Perfect Bubbles ; The first up 3rd , beaten under 1/2 a length by Here For Cheques is a solid enough form reference to go close in this. No luck 2nd up and Pike sticks from a kind barrier .

Quaddie (r5-8) ; 1.​2.​3.​4.​9.​10.​11.​12.​13/6.​13/3.​5/1.​3.​6 $24 for 100% (10 11 first leg) $42 for 50% other first leg numbers.

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Wednesday Winners (Updated)

Best Bet Ascot r4 Kelvinater ; If he can finish within a couple of lengths of quality Saturday horses such as Rusty Dreams and Leniency then logically he should take some beating back to this level. Expecting him to boot through and lead from the inside. Trusting an apprentice to judge the pace and rate them is not my ideal punting strategy but at $4.80 I’m willing to take the chance.

Best Value Ascot r5 Exporose ; Simply went too hard down the Pinjarra straight 1000m and was overrun as a drifting favourite. Stepped up to 1200m and was way too speedy. Controls this small field from the front again and can go on with it at a price.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Kelvinator ; If he can finish within a couple of lengths of quality Saturday horses such as Rusty Dreams and Leniency then logically he should take some beating back to this level. Expecting him to boot through and lead from the inside. Trusting an apprentice to judge the pace and rate them is not my ideal punting strategy but at $4.80 I’m willing to take the chance.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Geraldton r2 Ryewood ; Had every chance on debut and while she didn’t make ground on the two leaders she didn’t lose ground either over 1200m . Drawn 2 over 1400m with Pike taking over in a country maiden compared to provincial is a great set up for her. $2.20 is short but still value as I’m very confident the opposition are all battlers .

Best Value Geraldton r5 Ask An Angel ; Track specialist who has feet issues . Synthetic Hoof Filler off is a good sign and although she finished 8th last start she would of needed the run and drops 4kgs. Her four wins have all been with Victoria Corver riding and she returns to the saddle today. Each Way.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Snowdome ; In a recurring theme of today’s tips , I don’t rate this horse as a standout on current form alone but I do believe it will get every opportunity . Beat a much easier field last start by kicking through to hold the lead from barrier 1 (just) and holding them at bay comfortably enough as an odds on favourite. Think he holds up again and it’s vital he controls the tempo in the small field otherwise Beads and State of Power will be finishing over the top.

Ascot r6 Wicked Fox ; Got every possible chance in a c1 this track & distance last start and got the job done. Now goes to a 60+ graduation at similar odds ($6.50). That’s a big jump on paper but the competition have similar records ie around the mark but struggle to break through and he maps to get another dream run . Each Way.

Ascot r7 Live To Tell ; Has a withering finishing burst which she used to win first up over 1000m and then again 1100m from a mile back. The 1200m is perfect and only needs clear air to dominate this race. She deserves to be odds on , the presence of Pike on a very talented stablemate makes you nervous .

R7 Novelties 6.​9/6.​7.​9/1.​2.​3.​4.​6.​7.​8.​9.​10.​11.​13/1.​2.​3.​4.​6.​7.​8.​9.​10.​11.​13

$3 quinella $4 Exacta $36 trifecta $288 first 4 * I suggest either standing out 6 to win for first 4 or having the 9 winning for a smaller % to make it cheaper.

Ascot r8 The Qoukka ; Not a win betting race for me but as it’s worth 4 million I will share my thoughts and novelties. Was very keen on Bella Nippotina when you could get $5 / $2 place on Wednesday but she has been hammered into $3.90. A soft 6 or worse and I’d be back on board as she loves it. It will still have enough give in it for her to run well. She is the one who should get the right run just behind the speed and her Eastern States form is superior to ours. Pre barrier draw I was very keen on Uncommon James. His form is outstanding but the draw is disastrous. Suspect they roll the dice and push forward , working off the track at WFA and he’s vulnerable late , goes back and gives horses like Bella Nippotina too much head start , good luck jock! Amelia’s Jewel is undoubtedly WA’s best horse. Train her for middle distance and she wins group 1’s , train her as a sprinter and she wins just as impressively. Her win first up was breathtaking , the barrier heartbreaking. To win from near last over 1200m at Ascot in this line up would be quite remarkable. No doubt she’s got the ability but $2.90 isn’t tempting enough. Trix Of The Trade is 3/3 first up , 3/4 (1 2nd) at 1200m including 1/1 at Ascot. A Proven weight carrier , 1200m at this level might be a slight question mark but at $19 / $5 he is the clear value play. Resortman was brilliant behind Amelia’s Jewel first up , finishing better than anything besides her from a long way back. He is 3/4 2nd up and while everything would have to go perfect for him and not so for 1 or 2 others he is the roughie with a sniff and definite place chance.

Novelties ; 3.​10.​14/3.​4.​7.​10.​14/3.​4.​7.​10.​12.​14/1.​2.​3.​4.​6.​7.​8.​10.​11.​12.​14

$48 Trifecta , $384 first 4 .

Quaddie (r7-10) ; 6.(​9)/3.​10.​14/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​12.​13/2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​7.​9 $168 for 100% ($33.60 for 20% back up)

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Narrogin Numbers

Best Bet Narrogin r3 Western Impact ; Resumed at the track & distance , running 2nd to a horse that has since won again , and horses that finished behind him have also won or ran 2nd. The money has come for Who Be Whatee on debut. Nice trial although a bunched finish in moderate time , hard to line up . Sticking with the race form .

Narrogin r7 Strawberry Mist ; Not an easy track to win from the car park but she proved she is better than this grade with a dominant win this track & distance last start. Providing she can get some sort of cover and blend into it she should have them covered.

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Monday Money

Best Bet York r3 It’s A Love Story ; 3yo on debut who has run quick times for this grade at the trials. Doesn’t look to be any stars amongst the others .

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Mountain Ash ; I hate to do it but I’m going with an apprentice ridden odds on favourite as the best bet of the day. On paper he gets the lead on his own terms and who in this field is going to run him down if he runs up to current form? $1.80 is more than acceptable under the circumstances on another tough day to find value.

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Good Friday Gambles

Best Bet Ascot r3 Deep Envy ; Our very own Frantic War was expected to just win the day this filly received a Pike peach and ran us down. She then loomed to do the same to a very talented filly in Rusty Dreams over 1200m before peaking late. Back to 1100m , Pike sticks and I’m of the opinion she can get the better of the short priced favourite who is first up.

Ascot r5 Wicked Fox ; Last 3 runs over the mile are more than good enough form references to beat these providing she runs out the extra 200m.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r4 Life Of Brian ; On debut for the inform Lane Train , this horse has trialed brilliantly twice. First leading comfortably throughout and then coming from last to show great versatility The stable rate him highly and I’m a believer .

Belmont r7 Nunes ; Only ran 5th on resumption but it was from an impossible position behind a smart filly . She made sufficient ground to suggest she is ready to win . Finishing only 1.75 lengths off Saintorio in a LEE STEERE Stakes shows she has the ability to take this out.

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Narrogin Numbers

Best Bet Narrogin r4 Danube River ; A horse with a record of 3 starts for a win and a 3rd should be hard to beat in a Narrogin 46+. Brings Albany form which is actually the strongest form I can find. 58.5kgs for a 3yo filly against the older horses and barrier 1 are the concerns . If she jumps better than she has been then suddenly the barrier is a blessing on this tricky tight circuit . Enough in the $3.30 to have a bet .

Narrogin r7 Wee Ripper ; Is racing extremely consistently in the metro / provincial area and drops 1 kg as technically up in class but it actually looks easier. Maps to get a great run. Was more excited pre scratchings , now left with $2.80 favouritism . All Man & Miss Alfie love these tight country circuits and Brave Contender is flying , all legitimate dangers .

Box Trifecta 1 2 9 13 .

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