Sunday Prayers

Northam r4 Haida Gwai ; Trialing well for her debut and barrier 1 over the Northam 1000m is a massive advantage over the equal favourite Red Autumn who has 13. The form from his 2nd run is outstanding for this and he has Pike but the barriers sway me . Nothing wrong with Magnique’s trials either .

SRM 11 top 2 , 3 & 12 top 4 .

Best Bet Northam r7 Miss Wall Street ; Think Camera Action form will stand up here and from barrier 2 she should get a great run to stalk the pace and put them away.

Best Value Northam r9 Ensign Pulver ; 10yo gelding who is impossible to catch and rarely wins however he is drawn to get the run of the race from barrier 1 , most likely tagging the favourite Looks and hopefully today’s his day at big odds.

Quaddie (r6-9) ; 5 , 7 , 1 4 5 6 8 9 10 , Field $56 for 100%

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r2 Don’t Wait For Luck ; Has hit his straps last two with easy wins against easier competition. The way he has been hitting the line suggests the increase in distance will be no disadvantage and the rise in class is offset by the drop in weight. Pads going on his feet a slight query at the odds.

Kalgoorlie r5 Abloh ; Is a home track specialist where he is 2/2 at 1400m. Best suited when he can sit out of trouble and unleash a powerful turn of foot like last start in a similar race. Competitive race but the stable is dominating Kal like usual and he is going to be hard to beat.

Kalgoorlie r8 Starry Heights ; How do they beat him off his last start win ? If your a short price multi type of punter then here is your banker. Quaddie anchor for me.

Best Value Kalgoorlie r9 Sunny Honey ; Two close up 3rds to Rope Them In and Toropa is outstanding form for this. The fail in between was luckless and should of been a win. Secret Style will lead and be very hard to catch however I’m very confident she places and can challenge at $7 each way.

WA SPRING CARNIVAL RUNNERS

Flemington r9 Ripcord; His win in last year’s Placid Ark when exploding down the outside and catching Oscar’s Fortune indicated how talented he is and he backed it up with a 3rd to Overpass in the Winterbottom. Trial indicated he is ready to go and 1200m is his sweet spot. Track conditions on the day vital as I don’t want to get involved on a deteriorating track , anything worse than a soft 5 and I’m out. This is a wide open group 2 down the straight with Damian Lane booked to take the ride. Key scratchings have shortened the odds to $8.50 . I suggest waiting to see what the market does closer to jump as I feel it will drift back out.

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Gero Gambles

Best Bet Geraldton r7 Major Mario ; Only won the 2 from 16 but one of those was this track and distance to win his maiden. Went back to the big smoke and looks ready to break through on his recent form.

Quaddie (r4-7) ; field , 5 , 2 4 6 9 , 5. $48 for 100%

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r2 Lucky Lily ; Has really appreciated the move to the goldfields and the step up in distance. This is a stronger field than the one she demolished last start however she gets in on the minimum and Peter Fernie runners rarely go backwards when they hit form.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r7 Our Mate Archie ; Was trialing like a good horse before nothing went right on debut. Made amends 2nd up , holding a promising maiden at bay despite sitting wide no cover throughout. Goes to a C3 but that means he stays at 58kgs instead of 60kgs in a c1. Our Nemesis is exactly that , Ran 10 lengths last as a best bet in between 2 wins. Strange horse and has to carry 61kgs first up.

Nakayama (Jap) r11 Satono Reve ; Our local star hoop Damian Lane returns to Japan for 1 ride in a group 1 sprint. While I’m not very aware of the form it’s pretty obvious by it’s record of 9 wins from 7 including 2/2 track & distance that it will be hard to beat as a $3 favourite. Made a lot of money following Damo in Japan .

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r2 Blue Rocket ; Basing this tip on her 3rd in the Karrakatta plate. She got every chance last start but couldn’t run down the stablemate. From the draw and with Pike staying on she should get every chance again . Across Generations will get back and hit the line like he did in the same race as Blue Rocket last time. The extra 100m and further look ideal.

SRM Blue Rocket win , Across Generations top 4.

Best Value Belmont r3 Final Authority ; Tracked the two speedsters all the way this track & distance and although he couldn’t reel them in , he held 3rd. He will get the identical run from the inside gate tracking Miss Flirtatious who is first up. Can pinch this or at least hold down a place at nice odds.

WA SPRING CARNIVAL WATCH.

Rosehill Race 7 Amelia’s Jewel ; Despite another defeat , there was nothing wrong with her first up run , in fact it was enormous considering the track pattern and race shape. Tomorrow all comes down to conditions. The wetter the better for equal favourite Semana. At this stage I’m going to sit on the fence and just hope she gets the job done.

Northam Numbers

Best Bet Northam r5 Boussac ; Did enough first up to suggest he is ready to win a maiden. Faces off with a Peter’s Investments 3yo on debut. Always have to be respected but Pike and the colours are factored into the price which means we get slightly better odds with form on the board.

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Wednesday Winners

Belmont r3 Simply Thinkin ; Ran a fast finishing 2nd this grade / distance first up and the winner franked the form by winning Saturday. Be Bardot the obvious danger but I can’t get it odds on coming from a c1 1200m.

Best Bet Belmont r7 Outfield ; A repeat of last start 3rd against better opposition would see it go very close here. Hopefully doesn’t work to hard early and has enough left to hold them off .

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King's Birthday Present

Best Bet Bunbury r5 Magnum Class ; I concede he lacks a killer punch but he is dropping from c5 company and it’s Lane/Parnham at Bunbury. Top of The Walk has recent form behind winning horses but is a 10 start maiden and Magnachine is coming from c1’s. Placed to perfection.

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Sunday Prayers

Kalgoorlie r2 Date Withthe Devil ; Short enough for a horse with limited ability but draws to get a soft run for Pike in a very moderate maiden. Only has to maintain the level of his first up run to beat these.

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r7 Starry Heights.; Returned to form in the Coolgardie Cup , hitting the line with purpose and just failing to catch Admiration Express . The extra distance looks in his favour to turn the tables and they have a stronger formline than the other fancy Iowa .

Toodyay r3 Apache Blue ; Belmont c3 form should be far superior for Toodyay and he beat home rival Magnificent Carat recently.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r1 Oregan Hiker ; We got him at $9 in a C1 last start where he was too fast for them. Doubt he leads here as there is speed galore but actually think camped on Norich / Smokey Mountain will be perfect. $2.80 is hard to swallow on a Saturday but it is a very thin meeting in general.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r3 Camera Action ; Was keen on her last start but I was put off by the wide draw which can be poison at Kal . Made a mess of them regardless and although this is back in the city she has performed admirably against better opposition than she meets here in the past.

Best Value Belmont r6 Sunny Honey ; Won in this grade / distance 3 starts ago then finished 2 lengths off Russian Sniper & Toropa at her next two in Saturday grade. That is very solid form for a $7 chance in this. The sticking point might be the good ground as her wet form reads more consistent.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Northam r4 Muddy Waters; Big form turnaround at career start three when running down The Top Bar in a 3yo OMLY at big odds. His two previous runs he ran last. Think the increase in distance plus race experience was the difference so the extra 100m is ideal . Has to do it on good ground and any leader bias pattern early would cancel the tip .

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Weekend Winners (Copy)

Belmont r1 Perfect Chant ; Won both trials by a margin , showing good early toe and kicking away late. Chris Parnham was on in the 2nd one and when she crossed to the rail late she looked much more comfortable. Chris sticks and she has enough speed to hopefully cross straight to the front and take running down on debut.

Belmont r4 Bondi Plunge ; Has always shown glimpses of Saturday ability and her first up win as a 4yo indicated she may be ready to take the next step . Should get every opportunity in the same grade with only 1/2 kg more weight. $2.60 is short enough however I can understand bookies being scared of any Dan Morton runner presently .

Best Bet Belmont r8 Man Crush ; Barrier 1 and no Pulli in the race means he finally gets a chance to lead on his terms. .Under those conditions he is always very hard to catch . Frigid is a nice mare but favourite over 1200m? Hopefully tops off a big day for Chris Parnham and Lucky Duck Tip Followers!

WA Spring Carnival Runners

Rosehill r8 Bustling ; Moved to the Eastern States and already given an Everest Slot , WA’s dominant 2yo from last season has drawn perfectly to either towball Storm Boy into the straight or lead them up if he doesn’t cop too much heat. I couldn’t possibly get involved at the price , he’s WA form is nowhere near this level but if the leaders are dominating then the quinella with Storm Boy is worth consideration. $2 a place under favourable conditions would also be tempting , otherwise happy just to see how he goes towards other targets .

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Weekend Winners

Belmont r1 Perfect Chant ; Won both trials by a margin , showing good early toe and kicking away late. Chris Parnham was on in the 2nd one and when she crossed to the rail late she looked much more comfortable. Chris sticks and she has enough speed to hopefully cross straight to the front and take running down on debut.

Belmont r4 Bondi Plunge ; Has always shown glimpses of Saturday ability and her first up win as a 4yo indicated she may be ready to take the next step . Should get every opportunity in the same grade with only 1/2 kg more weight. $2.60 is short enough however I can understand bookies being scared of any Dan Morton runner presently .

Best Bet Belmont r8 Man Crush ; Barrier 1 and no Pulli in the race means he finally gets a chance to lead on his terms. .Under those conditions he is always very hard to catch . Frigid is a nice mare but favourite over 1200m? Hopefully tops off a big day for Chris Parnham and Lucky Duck Tip Followers!

WA Spring Carnival Runners

Rosehill r8 Bustling ; Moved to the Eastern States and already given an Everest Slot , WA’s dominant 2yo from last season has drawn perfectly to either towball Storm Boy into the straight or lead them up if he doesn’t cop too much heat. I couldn’t possibly get involved at the price , he’s WA form is nowhere near this level but if the leaders are dominating then the quinella with Storm Boy is worth consideration. $2 a place under favourable conditions would also be tempting , otherwise happy just to see how he goes towards other targets .

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Bunbury Best Bets

Bunbury r3 Pearl King ; Well bred Peters Investment’s 3yo on debut who has shown enough at trials to be competitive in a pretty moderate all age maiden.

Best Bet Bunbury r6 Estimator ; Loves finding the front and setting the tempo. Looks the most likely leader and Brad Parnham is one of the best at rating them out in front. Audrey Grace & Mia Gusto are the two who are most likely to challenge late for quinella players.

Best Value Bunbury r7 More Likely ; Won this track & distance two starts ago . Maps to get a better run than all three runs this prep and I’m very happy to get each way odds on a 30/70 % basis.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r6 Centre Bond ; The first up run caught the eye in a c1 and the run before a spell has form behind it that stacks up very well in this .

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r4 Zing to Win ; Most likely sits leaders back which should be the current favourite Khalida , peels off her back at top of straight and tries to run her down. He has run her down in the past off a tougher run and I wouldn’t be surprised if he jumps favourite.

Kalgoorlie r7 Admiration Express ; Quality mare who is getting closer and closer to a win. Beat all her main rivals home last start when caught on the line and I think she will get the right run close to the speed and return to the winners stall.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r3 Arcadia Park ; Good run on debut behind a talented type and then absolutely no luck next start . Pike jumps on and while $2.05 for a 2 start maiden in a Saturday 3yo SWP doesn’t scream value , there are only 2 winners ( 1 ea) in a pretty limited field and it maps to get a great run.

Belmont r7 Toropa ; She is 4/4 and her first 3 wins indicated she has a very bright future. She has had a little freshen up since her last win which was more workmanlike and I expect her to take care of these despite it being a slightly harder test.

SPRING CARNIVAL WATCH ;

Randwick r9 Amelia’s Jewel ; She is dynamic fresh and no doubt will be ready to rock at her first start in a campaign where we find out if she still wants to be a racehorse. A dry track and 1400m are big ticks and if she’s back to her best she beats these and is back in business. I think she will.

Moonee Valley r8 Showmanship ; I’m adamant this 9yo was going to be a superstar before a serious injury held him back a couple of years. He showed he still has a zest for racing last start , with a win in a decent enough form race. Reportedly his jump out since was brilliant and I’ll be having something on each way if he faces the starter. Although he is 5/5 on Good tracks , he is usually scratched and saved for wet tracks due to his injury history.

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Wednesday Winners

Belmont r2 The Top Bar / Gold Maker; The Top Bar won easily last start despite working deep without cover. Maps to control this from the front and will take running down. Gold Maker put in two flashing light runs then was held up at a crucial stage last time Drawn out he will sit back and hit the line. They are paying enough to back both . SRM The Top Bar Top 2 , Gold Maker Top 3.

Best Value Belmont r3 Oregan Hiker ; Run was as good as the winner who was a short priced favourite first up considering he made his run down the “wrong” side of the Pinjarra Straight and the winner hugged the outside rail. If he can replicate that effort around a bend then he looks a solid each way bet.

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