Best Bet Belmont r3 Arcadia Park ; Good run on debut behind a talented type and then absolutely no luck next start . Pike jumps on and while $2.05 for a 2 start maiden in a Saturday 3yo SWP doesn’t scream value , there are only 2 winners ( 1 ea) in a pretty limited field and it maps to get a great run.

Belmont r7 Toropa ; She is 4/4 and her first 3 wins indicated she has a very bright future. She has had a little freshen up since her last win which was more workmanlike and I expect her to take care of these despite it being a slightly harder test.

SPRING CARNIVAL WATCH ;

Randwick r9 Amelia’s Jewel ; She is dynamic fresh and no doubt will be ready to rock at her first start in a campaign where we find out if she still wants to be a racehorse. A dry track and 1400m are big ticks and if she’s back to her best she beats these and is back in business. I think she will.

Moonee Valley r8 Showmanship ; I’m adamant this 9yo was going to be a superstar before a serious injury held him back a couple of years. He showed he still has a zest for racing last start , with a win in a decent enough form race. Reportedly his jump out since was brilliant and I’ll be having something on each way if he faces the starter. Although he is 5/5 on Good tracks , he is usually scratched and saved for wet tracks due to his injury history.

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