Best Bet Belmont r5 Let’s Deal ; . He is a staying type who can sprint well fresh in this distance range. Has won 3/4 first up including 1 at today’s 1400m . Whether he can round them up with 60.5kg is a genuine concern. On one hand it’s disappointing to miss the $8 when markets opened , on the other hand the support ($8 - $4.6 - $6 ) indicates he is ready to run a race.
Belmont r9 Prize Pursuit ; resumes from a spell first up in the lucky last (R9) at Belmont tomorrow. Punters have naturally gravitated to #PIKEINTHELAST on progressive mare Category Three. She was given every possible first up and comes here off a setback. Barrier 2 and Pike , she could easily get every possible again . Aztec Ruler looked real smart in his first campaign , winning both starts. Forget next prep which was abandoned after 1 run and go off two nice trials in preparation for this , very hard to beat. Universal Flair seems to be a heavy tracker. Good track against , light weight and drawn to lead means I’ll be keeping him safe. Trade War is a get back and run on type better suited to 1400m but he’s a dry tracker and better chance than his odds suggest. While the market has written Prize Pursuit off , he has run 3 2nds in 4 first up runs to date and is drawn to get a great sit behind them .
Betting Strategy : While I have 4 or 5 rated above him , $31 / $6 is good value for a nibble each way . It’s a jackpot first 4 and looks very wide so I’ll be playing that for a small % which still could pay anything.
FIRST 4 NUMBERS ; 4.8.9.10.11/1.4.5.6.8.9.10.11/1.4.5.6.8.9.10.11/1.2.4.5.6.8.9.10.11
Quaddie (r6-9) ; 1.2.3.4.5.6.7.12.13.14/1.2/2.3/4.5.8.9.10.11 $240 for 100%
Please Gamble Responsibly