Belmont is already playing tired with making ground proving extremely difficult in recent times. We face another Heavy track tomorrow with the rail out 21m. Not a scenario that makes you want to bet with confidence. When following anyone’s tips or your own form it’s vitally important to monitor how the track is playing early and adjust accordingly.

Best Bet Belmont r4 Bird’s The Word ; Has won on heavy , drawn to race very handy with a leading rider engaged and has the strongest form. Ticks a lot of boxes. Wise Cracker has become a bit of a tease but swims so worth including at $8.

Novelties ; 1st 6 7 2nd 4 6 7 , 3rd & 4th Field . $28 trifecta $168 first4

Best Value Belmont r5 City of Sin ; His two heavy track runs have been his best by several lengths , albeit down the Pinjarra straight 1000m. Very little exposed wet track form in this so from barrier 2 could prove hard to catch on an each way basis.

Best Roughie Belmont r8 Ensign Pulver ; Races on speed , is down in the weights and racing consistently. Ran 2nd to the champ Prize Pursuit on soft two starts back , he would start close to favourite in this. There are better winning chances no doubt but at $26 / $5.50 I’m willing to have a small play on a 20/80 % basis.

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