Track rated a Heavy 9 Friday morning , lovely drying conditions today , showers expected to arrive in the afternoon and nothing too drastic. In summary I have no idea what conditions will be like come race time. Looking for horses that can handle wet ground is a given , hopefully we don’t need to single out swimmers. I personally won’t be betting til tomorrow morning when we have a better idea and dodge the nasty deductions.
Best Bet Belmont r2 Etomorp ; Might not of beat much last start but he did it on heavy 2nd up from a long spell and he blew them away from near last. Remembering this is only a c1 transferred from Wednesday , he has way more upside then anything else in the race. Surprised he’s black figures , 60kgs the only concern.
Belmont r4 No Apology ; Going back to the clash with Brave Dream 4 weeks ago. They meet at the same distance , weights and conditions. No Apology toughed it out on speed that day to lift off the canvas and hold out Brave Dream who flashed home late to just miss in a 3 way go. Apology has since taken ground off a flying leader who keeps winning , Dream was unsuited by the drop back to 1400m but wasn’t far away. Tough race to map but Shooter has barrier 1 to get a soft run and it will take a big run to get past him.
Belmont r8 Regal Magic ; Horrible map ( expect she settle’s last) , but I can’t declare her the biggest moral beaten in horse racing history and not butter up. To get as close as she did after being hopelessly checked out of it on the corner was remarkable. Had she not had to change course last 100m she probably still gets up. Down to 53.5kgs I’m going to ignore the map and back her on a 40/60 % basis. This bet is dependent on 8 runners facing the starter ( 3 place divs). Phanta will be ridiculously hard to run down , hence the each way strategy . Good Quinella.
Belmont r9 Little Flirt ; Wet Belmont 1400m is this mares cup of tea. Much better barrier this time , the challenge will be for the young apprentice to navigate a clear passage. 40/60 split again.
Best Multi ; Etomorp (win ) , Regal Magic (place) , Little Flirt (place)
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