Belmont r4 Prize Pursuit ; Doing the form for a track in the Heavy 8 / Soft 7 range based on Friday’s forecast. . While I’m not sure he’s a duck (pun intended) neither is he a duffer. He has run 2nd on a 8 previously. The speed map looks pretty straightforward . The omen horse Inflation will kick up and lead from barrier 1 , giving CJP the option from 2 to either find his back or stay 1 off depending on how the inside is playing. Most of these have been racing in the Westpeed races and there has been little separating them at the finish. Lucky Heart brings the alternate form line , handles wet ground and looks the value in the market. Prize should get the run of the race , Lucky Heart , Arnie’s Boy , Classic Rouge , Ninetyone Dwyer best placed to challenge , Inflation and Speedy Miss next best.
Betting Strategy ; This part is tough . To be honest while he’s hard to beat, there’s not much value in $3.40. Being an owner I will most likely just try and pocket the stakes and drink the free frothies should he salute. At $5 + I could entertain backing him for the win.
Novelties
1st 3 , 2nd , 1 5 7 11 , 3rd & 4th ; 1 2 4 5 7 11 $4 exacta , $20 trifecta $80 first 4.
Risky standing him out to win but you gotta risk it to win the biscuit!
Best Bet Belmont r8 Corn Cob ; Have a lot of time for this horse. Had 11 starts in it’s initial campaign starting with a Geraldton maiden win in December 21 and finished with a 70+ win beating smart city winner Startrade at the end of April , winning a total of 6 races. That is an incredible performance. He looks extremely well placed back to 62+ grade with the 3kg claim reducing his wait to 56.5kgs. Racing on a wet track , coming from good 3s is the query but it’s called gambling and I’m willing to take the punt on an each way basis.
Please Gamble Responsibly