Belmont r1 Prince Turbo ; It’s hard to believe a 8 rising 9 yr old coming off 2 serious tendon injuries is in career best form but it’s one of racing’s true miraculous feel good stories. To run a 2nd and then win over 2200m at listed level 2nd up would be beyond everyone involved wildest dreams. Despite the rise to 60kgs this small field of five is considerably weaker. Odds on in a small field , settles last in a tactical sit and sprint with the big weight , enough risk to avoid unloading at the short odds but will have a multi with Revitup in r3 .
Belmont r3 Revitup (Win); Has speed to burn and the fact it was forced to concede the lead first up with a big weight and still won comfortably was impressive. 2kg claim and the lead looks hers for the taking this time . Should lead and run them into the ground. Multi with r1 and some skinny novelties to try and make a profit out of the skinny odds.
Belmont r3 Rumour Says (Place) ; Only had the one 1000m trial where she led throughout effortlessly. Likely settles on favourite’s back and $2 a place looks a good bet in this scenario. I’ll back her 10 / 90% split just in case she’s extra smart and manages to run the fav down.
1st ; 1 2nd 2 9 , 3rd 2 6 9 4th 1 2 3 6 9 . (Field)
Trifecta is $4 per unit , first 4 $8 unit and back up first 4 with field for 4th is $24 unit.
Belmont r4 Imprudent ; He was our best value bet last Saturday and it was a horror watch from the start. I had him up on speed , after only jumping fairly he settled a mile back and was ridden very quietly . Thought he hit the line very nicely under very little riding. The Awkward draw has me worried where he ends up in the run , would love to see him go forward if he jumps well enough. Opened very short but now he is out to a each way quote , I’m happy to stick fat on a 30 / 70 % split each way basis.
Best Bet Belmont r8 Searchin Roc’s ; Found it hard to split Rokanori and this filly. Think the colt could potentially be one out of the box and reach great heights in the future. The conditions of this race however suit the filly so much that I had to side with her. First up she did a power of work from the wide draw to breeze and only got caught in the last stride , giving him 4kgs. Today she gets a kg so that equates to a 5kg turn around. She should also do less work in the run. Winners win though and the 1400m will be right up the colts alley. Definitely save on him. The market has swung between the three favourites every time I check. Devoted is no doubt talented but hasn’t reached the heights of the other two and is drawn awkwardly so I’m happy to risk.
R8 Novelties
1st & 2nd ; 1 & 4 ( $1 quinella $2 exacta )
3rd ; 2 5 10 ($6 Trifecta)
4th ; Field ($48 first 4)
Quaddie (r6-9) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 12 , 9 , 1 4 , 1 4 5 6 7 8 11 13 , $128 for 100%
Mad Roughy Flemington r8 Great Again ; Ex WA veteran that seems to be well past his prime , I just thought he showed enough in the Wangoon to be a mad chance at cricket score odds. Has a very decent record at Flemington and a soft 7 is his perfect going. If it dries past a 6 then forget it and we’re talking a very small each way spec at the massive odds in case he turns back the clock.
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