Best Bet Northam r1 Blue Card ; Between them this 4 horse field has had 59 starts for 12 places. Our selection was trying out a staying trip for the first time and out plugged two of the others into 3rd. You would think he can be fitter for the run so I can’t work out why he is the roughest of the three. Not getting carried away in such a weak race but like the price . ($3.80) .
Best Value Northam r7 Comfort Me ; Let me start by saying if Elite St is ready to rock then it just wins. Going off it’s trial I’m not convinced it is. Comfort Me’s trial was huge and we are getting $11 each way where as to back the champ you have to take $2.50. Was a revelation last prep , running 2nd in a Railway Stakes. This is a proper sprint with pace to burn so it wont be easy but the trial indicated intent , not just a first up run. Cup Night loves Northam and won this race first up last year. Definitely been targeted to repeat this year and should be in the finish. $6 opposed to $11 made me lean to Comfort Me but I may have a smaller bet.
R7 Novelties First & 2nd ; 1 7 9 3rd 1 3 5 7 11 4th ; 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 11 .
$3 quinella , $24 Trifecta , $144 first 4 .
This race analysis is based on a track you can make ground. If the 6 previous races indicate a leader rail bias then these bets could be put in the bin!
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