Best Bet Pinjarra r5 Dirty Chai ; Don’t usually label one on trials alone but she has looked super smart , with plenty in reserve. Gets Pike and it doesn’t look a very strong maiden. Expecting her to be heavily supported and am happy to take the $2.25 on offer this morning.

Pinjarra r7 Prize Pursuit faces the starter for the 10th time this preparation at Pinjarra on Thursday in a c5 1300m event. He continues to work the house down and we expect him to run another mighty race.

Race Analysis ; Expect Cross Statement will be keen to find the top with the blinkers going on and you would imagine Via Monte would be happy to take his back with 60.5kgs. Expecting improvement from Cross Statement with the red hot Luke Campbell taking off 2kgs an added bonus. Via Monte should get every chance and is coming back from a Saturday Graduation win , lumping over 60kgs is never easy in any company. Airlie Queen’s record suggests she’s clearly a fresh horse , gets in with 55kgs and Pike , very dangerous. 1300m from a good barrier (3) is the perfect scenario for Prize Pursuit. We have gone for the apprentice to get down to 56kgs to give us our best chance of beating the topweight. The plan will be for him to jump cleanly , find the two leaders backs and produce him 1/2 way up the straight , that’s when he does his best work and if he gets that opportunity he should be very competitive.

Betting Strategy ; 20 % win 80% place. Currently sits at $6 / $2 most operator’s . That’s close to where I have him but am happy to wait for better . All the early money is for Hint of Mint . ($3.90) I don’t rate her chances in front of the other 4 mentioned but early moves should always be respected. *SCRATCHED Also been a nibble for Airlie Queen ($6) and that one I totally understand at the value. As other;s are supported we should drift providing connections can show some restraint

  • Scratching has ruined the price / staking plan. If the place creeps out to $1.80 I’m happy to proceed , otherwise it’s a small win only bet .

Novelties : 1.​3.​4.​8/1.​3.​4.​8/1.​3.​4.​8/1.​.​3.​4.​5.​6.​7.​8.​10 $6 quinella $12 exacta $24 trifecta $120 first 4

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