Oaks She’s Extreme ; Very hard to go past the favourite in the Oaks. Beaten 1/2 a length behind Sharp n Smart in the Spring Champion stakes when you could strongly argue she should have won. Track a soft 7 with showers forecast and she loves it wet. Already a group 1 winner she is rated miles above her opposition and meets them at level weights. Synthetic Hoof Filler is a red flag gear change but you couldn’t imagine they would risk such a valuable filly if she wasn’t right to go.
Best Bet Ascot r3 Admiration Express ; Both runs to date have been good with very strong form lines for a maiden. She looks like the step up to 1400 will be ideal. The market says it’s a 2 horse race and Fashion Stakes is the clear danger. I’m banking on the barrier advantage (1 vs 8 ) making it a 1 horse race! Lucky Sue was hindered by a hot on speed rail bias last start. She has something to offer.
R3 Novelties 12 , 10 11 , 10 11 , field $2 exacta / trifecta $22 first 4 .
Ascot r6 Demolish ; Sustained a long run at Northam to beat a decent 3yo maiden field. Started favourite in a 3yo 0mwly over 1600m and ran 3rd next start. Looks hard to beat back to a c1 1400m from a soft draw.
Ascot r7 Halatorion ; Concede it had every chance last start but it only just missed and it’s hard to see it not getting every chance again from barrier 1 with Chris Parnham on . Denim Pack is a massive class dropper and is the other one I’ll be putting in the quaddie.
Quaddie (r4-7) 6.9.11.14/FD/4/1.6 $72 for 100%
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