Best Bet Geraldton r5 Warm N Fuzzy ; Had to go to the Mid West on Melbourne Cup day to find a special but as long as it lobs who cares! 3 runs at the track for a first up win and two 2nds behind a metro raider in Savage One. From barrier 1 he leads or sits in the box seat and from there we should start to get that warm n fuzzy feeling halfway up the straight. Opened $2.50 (bet 365) , that’s spot on in my opinion.
Ascot r5 Go Forward ; Was solid at WA debut behind Triple Missile who would absolutely brain these. Hoping he steps better than that occasion so he can go forward and slot in within striking distance of Crypto Queen. She should lead this for a long way but banking on her getting a stitch late .
Ascot Early Quaddie (r3-6) ; field , 1 2 3 4 6 7 , 1 5 10 11 , 11 $192 for 100%
Ascot r6 Arcadia Grace ; When she flopped in 3yo stakes company last start as a Lucky Duck Best Bet I immediately noted 1 more chance with blinkers and up in distance. Well here she is but instead of the Listed Burgess Queen , she turns up in a c3 against the older horses.. Definitely D Day and at $1.65 she is not an attractive win bet. I would rather have the early quaddie above and hope for some value in the early legs.
Melbourne Cup :
Don’t like this years race as a betting proposition but it would be Un Australian of me to not have a go . Can’t see any of the locals beating the favourite so it’s up to the internationals .
Win ; (2) Incentivise $3 is getting to a backable price but in a field of 24 still a risk vs reward question.
Best Roughie (24) Sir Lucan ; Purely speculative as it’s an import unseen in Australia with 50kg in an edition where at least 1/2 the field look to be making up the numbers.
Box Trifecta 1 2 3 16 24 $60 for 100%
First 4 1st ; 1 2 3 2nd/3rd ; 1 2 3 16 24 ; 4th 1 2 3 6 12 13 16 19 21 23 $288 for 100%
If following these novelties please only bet what you can afford via flexi betting and understand that it’s a next to impossible race and unlikely to come in . If you do win big off them then you can thank me by buying a share in 1 of my 2yo’s !
Have A Great Cup Day Ducks wherever you may be.