Best Bet Belmont r2 Off Wego ; Two ways you can look at this race in my opinion. Is 1400m too far for Captain Burglar and Type Won? Both have finished a nose either side of Indigo Blue over 1200m , who I would rate highly here. Both were being overrun late. Is 1400m too short for Off Wego ?. He has won his last two starts over 1400m and 1600m with a sharp turn of foot from the back. He got up in the last stride over 1600m so dropping back to the 1400 is the concern however hoping he can settle close enough from the barrier and banking on the other two stopping. Chiclett is the other obvious chance however can’t justify the $3 favouritism tag given the rise in class on recent assignments where she has been beaten then fell in despite being given every opportunity and starting at long odds on .
Belmont r8 Massimo; Sticking with the theme of value over confidence this weekend . Most of the top gun sprinters in this are heading to bigger grand finals in the coming weeks. While most are fresh with this in mind , our tip hasn’t stopped racing since what seems like forever. Has finished in the top two in 15 of it’s 18 starts . For a while there had forgotten how to win but is now going for 4 on the bounce and 5 out of last 6, regaining his confidence. Banking on his fitness edge to prove too strong late. Although dropping in distance from recent starts he has the tactical speed to land in the perfect spot just behind the leaders from the good barrier. $7.50/$2.45 each way is a great price for a horse with his record.
Caulfield r8 The Chosen One (Place); For those following our Spring Contenders series , here is our first Caulfield Cup pick from two weeks ago. Tough ask to beat Russian Camelot at WFA but on his first up run is sure to run well. $2.75 a place is a great bet and very keen to play the novelties.
1st ; 10 2nd ; 6 7 3rd 2 5 6 7 8 9 4th 2 5 6 7 8 9 .
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