Best Bet ; Morphettville r2 Astrolobe, Like backing Melbourne form in Adelaide.  This one has solid enough form and was scratched from a winnable race this week to cross the border which shows stable confidence

Very slim pickings today so I will talk about the punting dilemma of whether to back up on horses that have let you down.

pr4 Chin Strap; The Positive is Damien Oliver replacing Jake Casey.  That should equal massive improvement.  $8.50 for a maiden in a listed race however looks unders and I'll be risking.

pr7 Jestajingle; Punters are still scratching their heads and fuming at Peter Hall's decision to race 3 and 4 wide on speed last start over 1200m on a swooper.  He has been riding very poorly for a while now and the fact that he rides again with the rise in distance to 1400m which is a query means I'll be risking.

Here's hoping Murphy's law doesn't strike again.