Best Bet Belmont r2 Brave Spirit ; In a race with three almost equal favourites , I’m backing the Twain’s Angel form reference . Taking ground off her over 1200m indicates the 1400m should suit. The map and 60kgs is against Chollima but she’s smart . Richanco is up in distance and class but undefeated so must be respected
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Best Bet Morphetville r8 Amelia’s Jewel ; Plenty of knocks around WA’s star mare regarding 1200m and her starting price profile. Overpass is a serious sprinter on his day and I tipped him to win the Quokka and I would tip him even more confidently here . He’s not here , she will be ridden slightly more conservatively early and she has blinkers first time. She still ran 2nd being ridden upside down and if the blinkers sharpen her up even a little then she has to be the one to beat here .
Ascot r5 Cool Memory ; First try at 1600m resulted in a close 2nd to talented / flying 3yo Fly With Caution. 3yo form generally stacks up against graduation grade and he drops 1.5kgs taking on the older horses.
Best Value Ascot r7 Citino ; He has beaten up on a weak maiden field and a weak cl1 at his last two . This is technically a massive jump in class but there are still no stars in it and he drops from 60kgs to 54,5kgs to compensate. Will sit back and unleash a sharp turn of foot from the back. Each way all day.
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Best Bet Northam r5 Big Swoop ; Races on pace and fights on strongly most times it goes to the races. With Flash Ducati up sharply in trip and Fioreyes on the quick back up from a tough 3100m run , I’m happy to go with the Fat Roy Slim form line (2nd narrowly beaten ) who won a Saturday race yesterday.
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Best Value Ascot r6 Crippalenko; In a wide open raffle with form coming from all angles , he is racing well at this track & distance so the $8 each way is appealing.
Best Bet Ascot r8 Flower In The Wind ; Shooting for 4 on the bounce . She carries weight and can sustain a run and outstay her rivals . A mare with 60kgs over a trip makes it hard to go chips in but around $3 is the right price.
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Best Bet Ascot r3 Barney’s World ; A little disappointing first up but in hindsight maybe he needed it off only a 400m trial. Made amends last start and maps to get a great run behind the speed in a race that lacks Saturday type horses.
Ascot r6 Laced Up Heels ; She’s beaten Amelia’s Jewel this track & distance and was nosed out of a wfa win last week. Hopefully a double for the Fernie / Chris Parnham combo.
Geraldton r5 Ima Wild Girl ; Ran on into 2nd over 1100m on a leaders Narrogin first up. The extra 100m suits , Faithfull will give it every chance from the barrier. Heyfield Boomer finds the top it should take some catching. Nice quinella.
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Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Rubick Lass ; 10 start maiden for only the 3 minors wouldn’t usually scream best bet but this is very weak and she was desperately unlucky last start when well supported in betting. Let Sparks Fly would be favourite on last prep’s form but failed dismally first up at Geraldton.
Pinjarra r6 Simple Logic ; The form out of his win 2 starts back has been franked and barrier 1 should see him get every opportunity to repeat in this company.
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Best Bet Ascot r6 Twain’s Angel ; Won both a maiden and 3yo plate at first two starts easily . Resumes off an equally impressive trial win and should get complete control in front.
Ascot r7 Golden Kathleen ; Electric win on debut , she took her medicine from barrier last start and was enormous trying to zig and zag from last through traffic. Although she is drawn a little awkward again , this time she gets Pike and being a Grand Final you would imagine they will be more positive with the tactics. Bustling is flying but ironically I don’t like barrier 1 in a 2yo feature race unless you can guarantee me he holds the front. Deserves favoritism but happy to take the better odds .
Quokka Analysis , No clear cut tip but it’s a showcase for WA racing so I’ll give my two bobs worth. Overpass has had two starts at Ascot , both over 1200m for a narrow win in last years Quokka and a dominant win in the group 1 Winterbottom stakes. I’m very confident he will take over from stablemate Malkovich early in the straight and then it’s up to King of Sparta and Amelia’s Jewel to try and run him down. At the odds I’m going to back both the boys against our local star but I’ll be holding my breath late and she definitely goes in the quaddie .
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Best Bet Ascot r4 Flower In The Wind ; Mare in form going for 3 in a row and is dropping 2kgs. This is no harder if not easier and she is clearly the horse to beat.
Ascot r7 Own The Queen ; She’s won 5/6 , making a clean sweep of the 3yo fillies classics in the oaks. She doesn’t win by margins due to her racing pattern but it’s hard to see the fillies turning the tables at set weights. The boys seem to be taking turns and their form is inconsistent. How many of them are genuine stayers is questionable so I’m going back to the filly. Flash of Dallas is a 3 start maiden filly who ran a bottler in the oaks , you could make a case she should of won. She is a deadset stayer and from a better barrier would be right in contention. Will take a great ride but at $14 is worth including.
Ascot r8 Fly With Caution ; Concede it got every chance last start in an easier race but it maps to get a great run again and looks a progressive 3yo.
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Ascot r6 Golden Kathleen ; Her debut 8 weeks ago was the most impressive 2yo performance this season in my opinion. She won by a space and seemingly had more up her sleeve. Barrier 9 against a pretty smart filly with the draw advantage in Golden Vale won’t be easy but she is too talented not to play at $4.
Best Bet Ascot r7 Rockanori ; Was one of the top rated 3yo’s of his year before struggling to make the transition as a 4yo. His last two runs he has attacked the line hard for a 2nd and win and thats the first time in ages he has put two good runs in a row for ages. Maps to get a great run and $7 each way is a great bet in my humble.
Ascot r9 Halatorian ; Only flop for #LANETRAIN was a complete forgive on a track that was impossible to make ground out wide. Luke Campbell gets on great with him and he should be right in the finish. Malkar Pindarri should be charging home but first up 1200 at Ascot looks inferior value at the odds , clear danger though.
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Best Bet Albany r7 Toni’s Spirit ; Beaten 5 1/2 in a Perth Cup and under a length in a Bunbury Cup is great form for the Albany Cup. Looked sharp at trials Monday and ready for a peak performance.
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Best Bet Ascot r3 Insyde Success ; Has come back to the races in fine fettle considering last start was a complete forgive. Should get every opportunity just behind the speed for the lethal Mcgruddy/Wolfe combo. Snow Prince bounced back last start albeit getting a dream run . If the same split comes from barrier 1 again then he is the danger.
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Best Bet Ascot r7 Lord Vampi ; Pretty arrogant win in the JC Roberts and meets the same field under similar conditions with a couple of extra’s coming through maidens/c1s . Providing he runs the extra 400m out and I can’t see why he wont , he is the one to beat and should be favourite in my opinion.
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Pinjarra r1 On A Winning Day ; Bondi Plunge form is good enough to be winning this and last start she was desperately unlucky this track & distance , looking for a run against the preferred outside fence from back in the field and getting out too late . Has had 14 cracks at it so last chance .
Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Shell Bell ; She’s 83 days between runs but has been scratched numerous times so I can only presume she has had niggles but remained in work. Put simply if she’s fit enough she’s too fast for this lot while fresh and has a jump n run apprentice on. Jumps , finds outside fence and we hold our breath last 100m.
Pinjarra 9 Run Pattie Run ; Ready to peak 3rd up and get’s the run of the race . The horse she was beaten under a length to last start won a 3yo hcp at Ascot yesterday to make it 4 in a row.
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Best Bet Ascot r4 Boots Like Boots ; Hammered in betting last start and took full advantage of an extreme rail bias to run them into the ground. While it’s never guaranteed , rail out 3m with Easterlies blowing indicate Ascot will play similarly , definitely wont be a disadvantage to be is up there so from barrier 1 he can repeat.
Ascot r5 Ultimate Command ; Another runner that made full use of the Bunbury bias last start and drawn to try and repeat. If conditions are helping and Bruce wins race 4 then $5 each way looks a very nice bet considering he will settle in front of the main dangers.
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Best Bet Belmont r5 Patron Of Kings ; His 3 wins from 6 starts have all been at this track & distance where he is undefeated. Blinkers on first time and a perfect map settling behind a hot speed with clear air to his outside should give him a great chance to keep his record here intact. No good thing with 61kgs but he’s $4.20 so enough in that to have a bet.
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Ascot r6 Own The Queen ; Exciting filly who has won 3/4 and continues her battle with Miss Skyhigh as they both continue towards the Oaks. The 2kg swing and extra 400m make it more difficult however I think barrier 6 vs 1 actually works in our favour . Hoping Turner can steal a margin before CJP can get into the clear and hold her off again.
Ascot r8 Russian To The Bar ; This time it’s the boys on the way to the Derby and like the fillies , the money suggests A Lot Of Good Men can turn the tables but I’m sticking fat. Granted he might get a more economical run but I’m of the opinion Russian is the better horse and should get every opportunity to beat him home for the third time in a row.
Best Bet Ascot r9 Royal Toranado ; 3yo’s have been beating up on the older horses for some time now and the three horses in single figures are all talented 3yo’s on the minimum against an even bunch of older horses who are no stars and carry big weights. Last start he finished 3/4 of a length behind Russian To The Bar at listed level this track and distance. The other 3yo’s the obvious dangers but the filly is unproven at the distance and coming from easier races while Cosmic Crusader is $3 vs $4.40 despite being beaten 2 1/2 Lengths in the same listed race.
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Albany r2 Oxbridge ; When he has led this track & distance this season he has been untouchable. Drawn 2 with another very fast horse in Sky Duke drawn 3 it’s crucial that he jumps cleanly and finds the top , then he should continue he’s dominance. If he gets crossed or has to spend a lot of petrol to boot through then he’s vulnerable. I’m backing him to run them into the ground.
Best Value Albany r3 Johnny Waffles ; First up he ran a nice fast finishing 3rd to our very own Magnasonic at 100s That run would be very competitive here however his other 8 career runs have been ordinary. Blinkers on first time in easier company has encouraged me to have a nibble at the 20’s each way on a heavy place basis.
Best Bet Albany r7 Oscar’s Fortune ; . Drawn 3 with 54kgs to stalk a hot speed , first up off a 2nd in the group 1 Winterbottom Stakes . Surely he gets the right run to dominate his rivals with that level of form. Red Can Man looks the obvious danger but is drawn to get a tougher run.
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Best Bet Bunbury r5 Nero King ; Has been finishing his races off solidly , hopefully can settle a little closer from the middle gate and run over the top .
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Best Bet Ascot r4 One Punch : Only unplaced run in 3 career starts was a genuine forgive with excuses. Won softly on debut albeit at Narrogin and just missed this class , track & distance last time. $7.50 each way in a field of 8 looks a good bet.
Best Value Ascot r6 Oceanzara ; Honest mare in career best form drawn to get the right run. Was right in it last start before fading very late so the drop back to 1400m should assist. Backing it on a heavy place basis.
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Best Bet Ascot r2 Angel’s Impact ; Racing experience vs unraced in 2yo racing will always get my vote and this gelding is yet to miss top 3 in 3 starts in good company.
Best Value Flemington r8 Zipaway ; Nothing wrong with his first up run over 1400 , especially the last bit. WA Guineas winner over the mile and group 1 placed over 1800m , I’m banking on him running out a stronger mile than most of his more fancied rivals. Couple of real smart ones in it as you’d expect but at 20s I’m willing to go each way heavy place.
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