Winning Wings For Wednesday

 Best Bet: Ascot r5 Lusaha; Was hoping for a better price but with all the boost options around I'll stick.  Smashed the field and clock first up at Northam first up, previously running competitively in 2yo carnival races last season.  Too speedy again.

Other Bets

Mr3 Magnarock; Don't usually tip horses with 61kgs but has form around listed and Saturday winners.  Most of the field carry 58.5-60kg anyway.

Mr8 Our Century; Bendigo Cup and while this import hasn't set the world on fire in Australia it drops in weight and in the Uk has a 2nd to Hartnell who would win this by a massive space. 

Sr8 Cannot Be Serios; I can with this galloper who admittedly jumps a fair bit in class but was super impressive first up and backed accordingly in the ring. Watch market again.

Br1 High Specs; Third up, run down late 2nd up and Lloyd to ride.

Br7 Wicked Trilogy; Looks the best horse in race just needs some J Byrne help to overcome wide gate.

Ascot Quaddie (r4-7) 1 2 3 4 5 6, 2, 1 2 8, 1 5 7. @$54 for 100%

COX PLATE DAY BEST BETS

Best Bet Mr8 Gallante: Sydney cup winner on the way to Melbourne Cup who first up finished 2nd to Jameka with huge weight. Wary of import second wave but backing the proven form in.

Other bets

Mr5 Lady Le Fay : Superior form and ability looks a weight certainty.

Pr5 Final Salute: Respect to Sandalwood but backing race fitness and Pike to hold the edge.

Pr6 Agachar Cruz : They will go like scalded cats in this and banking on Cruz sitting right on their hammer from barrier two.

Pr8 Scales Of Justice: raced too fresh first up, perfect distance should redeem himself.

People are dropping off Hartnell in the cox plate like it's not breathing.  I agree Winx is the hot favourite but stick firm with it's the only danger.  It thrashed Jameka hard held.  Hopefully the quinella will pay overs due to the strange knock on Hartnell.

Cox Plate First 4 : 3 8, 3 8, 2 4 9 6 , 2 4 9 6. @ $24 for 100%

Mr quaddie (r7-10)  1 3 5 7 8, 1 9, 3 8, 1 2 3 6 11 @$100 for 100%

Pr quaddie (r5-8) 7 11, 2 6, 1 2 3 4 12 13, 5 7. @ $48 for 100%

 

Friday night fish and tips

Best Bet Mooney Valley r3 Tarquin : Team Hartnell get a cox plate warm up with Tarquin running over the cox plate trip tonight.  Last start third to Real Love who ran a good race in the Caulfield Cup should have him cherry ripe for this assignment.  With plenty of rain around maybe wait til just before jump in case the track deteriorates into the really soft range which dampens my confidence.  Mad Bookie has a promo offer on the race.

Tonights Group 1 Manikato is the highlight , I am of the opinion that Chautauqua is too inconsistent to follow, on his day he blows them away but his first up run was flat as which he has done before.  Buffering looks to get a picnic out in front.  LDR will concentrate on the quaddie to have an interest in the race.

Quaddie r5-8

Field, 3, 1 2, 7 11.  $36 for 100%

Whoop Here's a Winner Wednesday

Best Bet Mr6 Theanswermyfriend: The Geelong classic is a traditional derby/oaks lead up usually for horses that don't get a start in the bigger Saturday lead ups.  This years edition is quite strong but I'll take a last start winner at Caulfield with that man Dwayne Dunn onboard. Crownbet and Mad Bookie are running specials on the race.

For those that like adding favs to a multi Mr5 demonstrate and Pr1 Settlers Creek look very hard to beat but are rock bottom prices.

 

Super Excited Saturday Tips

Best Bet : Caufield Cup The 3.60 Fav Jameeka is my best bet of the day.  Two runs ago she demolished the other local hopes and last start she thrashed everything bar Hartnell who along with Winx are the two geniune superstars of Australian racing.  52.5 kgs and trained to the minute will take a stack of beating. 

Other Bets

Mr2 Morton's Fork- Sydney Form dominant this spring.

Pr7 Neverland Stablemate to both favs but absolutely flies first up and at the value around $12 great eway bet.

Sr4 Pumpkin Pie unbeaten winning easily at first two starts and from powerful provincial stable.

Sr5 Bullrush Looks ready 3rd up to prove too classy for this field.

Sr9 Spieth Very exciting horse, one knock is yet to win first up but has had excuses.

Ar5 Kifaah Right trainer, right form very confident.

Ar7 Benz won 5 out of 6 and beat a promising type last start.

Hope to see as many sandgropers at our Meet & Greet at Ascot today, surely the weather will clear in time but rain hail or shine it will be raining winners for Lucky Ducks.

Thursday Tip Time

Moe Cup On at 1.00pm WA Time and the fav Raw Impulse should be shouting us Moet well beer at least at around $2.30.  Was disappointing in Group 1 Turnball at Flemington but this is much more suitable and a wet track also helps.  Really looks classes above for mine.  Sorry for the late notice Daylight saving really catches us Sandgropers out!

Welcome Sunshine with Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Bunbury race 4 Big Caroline.  When a mare hit's form they generally stay there and Caroline is flying.  Three wide without cover last start lumping a big weight was still too good.  Drawn for a much softer run in slightly stronger grade the $6 eway on offer looks great value.

Mr8 Euro Angel Caufield has a strong pre cup meeting today with wide open fields.  Euro Angel looks the best bet in the last.  Has a big booming finish on her, jockey of the moment Dwayne Dunn to steer home another winner.

Bunbury Quaddie (r5-8)

3 4 5 8 11 12, 4 14, 2 4 5 11, 4 7 11 14.  @$192 for 100%  Suggested stake 25%

Caufield Cup Saturday where early fav Jameeka looks toughest to beat.  Come and join the team for a punters club and drink at the Opening Ascot Meeting.  Details on our social events page or facebook page.

 

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet: Mr9 Ruettiger in the Apache Cat Classic.  $4 for a horse that has beaten Voodoo Lad and run 4th to Sooboog at Flemington at it's last two starts will do me nicely.  Voodoo Lad would thrash this field.  The one Query is the 1000m as it's better over 1200m but from the ideal barrier should park close enough.  Omen punters be wary of Bullpit withRoss Higgins, who played awesome character Ted Bullpit in 80's classic Kingswood Country passing away on Friday.

Other Bet: Ar6 Time Walker is from Adelaide's leading yard with top hoop Dom Tourneur to ride.  Dropping from a 2nd in Saturday grade to a Gawler c2 and you can still get $2.50.  Suggest you take it early and even boost it at Ladbrokes, Sportsbet or Tabtouch as doubt that price will last.

Good Luck Ducks and remember to keep next Saturday free for the Perth Meet n Greet at Racecourse where you can help rob the bookies blind.

Super Confident Saturday

Best Bet: Mr9 He's Our Rokkii, $3 fav in the group one Toorak Handicap.  Being a handicap and carrying 55kgs makes me even more confident. Ladbrokes has best tote +20%, Palmerbet and The Betting Club bonus bet for 2nd, 3rd.

OtherBest Bets

Mr2 Assign ,2nd to stablemate who has franked the form, gap to third, should win today. Luxbet, Sportsbet and Crownbet have bonus bets for 2nd 3rd this race.

Ar2 Pepper the Pin, Flying this campaign meets similar field.

Sr6 Handfast Running good races in top company, looks ready

mr10 Star Turn Very talented 3yo with strong formlines and weight advantage.

Crownbet Multi (2 out of 3 bonus bet)

Assign,Handfast,Star turn

Quaddies

Mr EARLY (R3-6) FLD,3 5 10, 2 4 14, 3   @ $117 for 100%

Mr Main (r7-10) 2 3 4 6 8 10 12, 1 2 5, 4, 12 @ $21 for 100%

Free Bet Friday

Our friends at Classicbet are giving LDR members an exclusive free bonus bet when you sign up through us.  Known for there willingness to take you on with bigger odds than most corporates and with an account manager assigned to every member for assistance.  Click on the link on our friends page , Use Dennis Keane as a contact and tell him your a Lucky Duck when he contacts you.  Don't deposit any money until you speak to them so they can organise your free bet.  Perfect way to start your big Caufield Guineas Day this weekend.

Click on friends of ldr, then the Classicbet link to start punting.  

THANKS FOR THE TIP THURSDAY

BEST BET: MR4 RUN CHARLIE RUN ; When a horse looks after you it pays to keep the relationship going. Charlie has won for LDR before and think it will again. Very speedy mare that runs and keeps running over the 1000m.  Oliver rides the short price fav Scuzi who ran out of ground over 1100m so with the claim for in form apprentice Jack Martin I believe Charlie will be too quick.  Tab Touch customers the Super Pick cash back for 2nd looks ideal.

Have a Quack Ducks

HUMP DAY HELP

BEST BET: Northam race 6 Seattle Stryker, from the powerful Simon Miller yard, this galloper won it's 2nd career start beating a $1.30 fav in Show Honey.  Show Honey has been heavily supported into odds on again in race 4 so with natural improvement Seattle Stryker must be hard to beat.

That's all for today folks, Caulfield Guineas day Saturday, Bunbury hosts WA metro meeting.  Come and say hello at the South West Meet & Greet or Perth Meet & Greet the following Saturday at Ascot.  Check the Social Events Page for details.

Quack Ya Later.

Sunday Hangover Cure

Well AFL is over and the Dogs left us all feeling happy with the world again.  Tipping winners also helps and now it's really time to get our teeth into the spring carnival.

Best Bet: Mr4 The Quarterback ; going for value today and $6.50 for a Newmarket Handicap winner (also ran down the Flemington straight) beating the likes of Black Heart Bart and Chautaqua certainly fits the bill.

Mr2 Zunbaqa ; Likes to lead and has won at track before.  Has the form on the board while the dangers are coming from weaker form lines. WA boy Damian Lane to look after us.

Mr6 Exocet; The Freedmans are slowly but surely re-establishing themselves amongst the big boys and this fellow is helping.  Still greener than the grass on the MCG he was ultra impressive last start and can go on with it.

Mr7 Hartnell; Today's group one over the 2000m see's Hartnell arrive from NSW in blistering form and an odds on qoute.  There is a jackpot first four to get some coin out of him.

1st 4, 2nd 1 2 8 9 13, 3rd 1 2 6 7 8 9 13, 4th s3 (flexi suggested)

Mr8 Manageress; Scratchings have left me with this very consistent mare.  Loves Flemington and never runs a bad race.

Quaddie (r6-9) **** rather than go wide and expensive in a tough looking quaddie we are going to have a cheap crack at a good dividend by standing out our tips and seeing how far we can get.

2,4,10,field @$16 for 100%

Good Luck Ducks , remember West Aussies daylight saving kicks off today in the East so we are betting with our cereal.

 

Saturday Game Day

Sydney's turn for group one racing and while two of the three group one's are wide open the rest of the card is destroyed by scratchings and left with favs dripping in red odds on sauce.  Locally at Belmont wild weather overnight and gale force winds have me reluctant to tip on the meeting but we do like a couple.

Best Bet is pr3 Royal Missile.  Beating odds on fav and today's rival Bonny Be Good on it's merits last start, see no reason why it can't do it again and due to Pike riding Bonny it is fav again.  Nashville Cat for LDR trainer Jason Miller looks a danger.

Pr6 Fathom's Of GoldClose up 3rd to Falcon Crest and Material Man is good enough for this race.  Before that won two in a row easily over similar distance.

Sr2 Condor Heroes Usually wary of betting on the early 2yo's but this one couldn't have been more impressive at the trials smashing the clock and putting daylight on the others. Both Sportsbet and Luxbet have run 2nd 3rd bonus bet up to $50 promo

Ar3 Honey Steels Gold Stayer in form that has been mixing jumps with flat racing and winning both.  Confident it can win again.

Crown Bet Multi Insurance ( 2 out of 3 bonus points) *fixed odds only

Pr3 Royal Missile, Pr6 Fathoms of Gold, Sr2 Condor Heroes

Enjoy the AFL Ducks, Make some money on the side and get ready for a big Turnball Stakes day at Flemington tomorrow.

Friday Night Wallet Fillers

3 Days of group one racing with AFL Grandfinal thrown in DUCK YEAH WERE PUMPED.  We better get this right to pay for the rest of the weekend!

Best Bet Mr7 Chautauqua : Racing enthusiasts have been drooling over this clash with buffering for weeks.  I think at 2.25 the worlds best sprinter is great value.  There is so much pressure on speed in this race and the big grey flash slingshots off the bend at Mooney Valley like no other, can't see them holding him out .  Boost the price with Ladbrokes or Sportsbet and get in the que!

MR3 Real Love : Perth's Classy middle distance mare looks cherry ripe for this race.  Gives a little weight to the boys but big danger Tom Melbourne is very inconsistent where as Real Love tries her heart out every run.  Love cheering the WA Nags home in bid spring races.

Mr6 Don't Doubt Mama : Big fan of this mare and jockey Dwayne Dunn.  Was very impressed with her last start win getting up on the fence which actually wasn't the best ground.  Has a lethal sprint at the end of her races and when a mare hits form they usually stay there.  Favourite Rising Romance is the obvious class and weight horse but hasn't won for so long I'm happy to take her on.

Early Quaddie (r1-4)     7, field, 1 7, 4 7 8@$66 for 100%

Main Quaddie (r5-8)  1 6 8, 1 2 10, 2 , 3 4 6 7 8 9@$54 for 100%

Gloucester ParkBest R8 The Black Lord is a different horse when leading so if it can ping the tapes from the stand should run a race at good each way prices.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet is Pr3 Cash on Call  From the powerful Williams Pike combo this horse showed good ability first prep.  Trialling like a winner and the fav Big Caroline has to lump the 59.5kgs

Mr3 Nina Peak.  First up finished under 3 lengths behind Saturdays thousand guineas prelude winner Legless Veuve and placed in stakes grade 2nd up last prep surprised even money is available boost it with Sportsbet or Ladbrokes and get on.