Best Bet Ascot r5 Promising ; Had too much pace for them down the Pinjarra straight 1000m then backed up quickly to a 3yo plate which has produced winners since . She ran 3rd in that race despite not having much luck and back to a midweek c1 she looks perfectly placed to lead them a merry dance.
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Best Bet Mt Barker r3 Parc It In Here ; Spanish Kat is a 13 start maiden who has run 3 2nds up in trip , leading in weak staying maidens. Parc finishes his races off and has won 1/4 , if he runs out the trip I think he can run over the top and win comfortably.
Mt Barker r5 Frantic War ; Could honestly copy and paste these from all prep. Barriers 1 , 2 , 3 and 5 are speed horses which leaves us doing all the work from 5 again. Does He Know (1) kicked up under us two back before compounding , This’ll Show Ya (2) has led and won in c5 company this prep and Blue Line (3) can be hit and miss from the barriers but the apprentice on rarely rides for a sit if possible. Frantic War has been to Barker once and failed , it is a quirky track that plenty don’t handle , but he comes here thriving off the quick back up and no horse deserves a win more than him.
He has been hammered into equal favouritism in early betting, novelties might be the go.
1 3 6 , 1 3 6 , 1 3 6 , field.
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Best Bet Ascot r4 Aintsobad ; Rare for a horse to win a maiden , c1 and c3 on the bounce and that’s exactly what this 5yo mare has done . Each win has been by a comfortable margin and while there is decent speed engaged , she should be up there without having to burn too much energy early.
Best Value Bunbury r8 Rusty Dreams ; Hasn’t had much luck through a long campaign but was good last start over 1800m. She;s better suited over 1500m and should get a lovely run from the draw. I’m a huge Bonjoy fan , just hard to trust a favourite off 5 weeks due to a foot abcess and Rusty’s price of $17 / $4.25 is too big vs $3.30 a win under those circumstances.
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Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Cessaation ; Drawing to find the outside fence first down the Pinjarra straight 1000m is a massive advantage to a horse who already has a great track & distance record.
Pinjarra r9 Our Mate Archie ; Lightly raced 4yo who’s early stats indicate he improves sufficiently enough 2nd up to be winning today . Not much between him and the favourite Soso Lucky so i’ll take the better odds with the knowledge he has come back in good order whereas the fav is resuming off heavy track wins.
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Best Value Ascot r8 Oxbridge ; This Great Southern speedster is in career best form and still seems to be on an upward spiral , remarkable for an 8yo. I concede this field has much more depth than the Summer Scorcher however this time I think he finds the front and on the minimum he takes running down.
Albany r5 Frantic War; Has done all the donkey work in the breeze last three starts . Ran in a 70+, finishing a nose 2nd to Avoidance who has since placed in Ascot Graduation company , won a OMWLY at Pinjarra and run 4th in the Fitzpatrick Plate . Then bumped into Oxbridge who went on to win the Summer Scorcher and finally dropped to 58+ grade and got touched off on the line by Flick The Switch who is airborne and she somehow found our back from the outside gate and got the perfect run. Frustratingly he has drawn outside a number of on pace horses once again and looks destined for another tough run. Demito only knows one way , Vonsip , Hot Chatter , Blue Line (providing he jumps ) all race handy. Going well enough to win this and deserves it , just worried how much fuel gets burnt early as he races better being put into the race early.
For those wanting to bet I suggest a 25/75% split of your stake for serious punters or a small win bet for the hobbyists.
Good Luck Connections & Followers
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Best Each Way Ascot r4 Cherry Can Run ; Was unlucky , charging through traffic first up , In clear air 2nd up she put them to the sword. Both were 1200m c3’s like today which is also restricted to fillies & mares , so if she maintains that form the $9 looks juicy enough to play each way.
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Best Value Albany r7 Bayezid ; First up specialist who has had the necessary gap between runs and tick over trials since winning the Batavia Sprint at Geraldton over the 1200m. Happy to bet each way at double figures in a wide open affair.
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Best Bet Ascot r2 Prophet & Power ; Likes to lead and run them into the ground which he has done last two starts and from the soft draw in a similar field I see no reason why he can’t make it a hatrick.
Ascot r4 Another Strike ; Luckless first up , race not run to suit 2nd up , he strikes a very winnable race to run over the top of them on the quick back up.
Ascot r11 Rocking Society ; A progressive stayer who looks to get the perfect run , he has lengths on these . Basically backing him to handle the extra 3.5 kgs .
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Best Bet R4 Dubai’s Daughter ; Won effortlessly first up this track and distance and has solid enough metro/provincial form to pounce on the odds on fav if he is not up to the mark first up. With Sniper’s Son being a stablemate the late betting moves should be a good guide .
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Pinjarra r5 De Grandholme ; Both runs over 1000m indicate 1200m will suit perfectly 3rd up.
Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Aintsobad ; If she can cross without burning too much fuel and maintain her current form she will be too good for these.
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Ascot r5 Diamond Scene ; The two locals at the top of betting who have had perfect cup preparations , vs the two fresh eastern states raiders , sets up a great betting race in this years Perth Cup.
Diamond Scene looks primed to add yet another cup to the already sparkling Peters Investments trophy cabinet. Has won or ran 2nd in all the traditional lead ups and was pretty soft on the line at the end of 2200m last start , suggesting the son of So You Think is ready for 2400m . Sentimental Hero was “unlucky” behind Diamond Scene last start , no doubt it was all about today regardless. Not much between them , my gut just feels the fav might run the trip out a touch stronger with SH having to do more work this time from its draw. The raiders have dominated the carnival and both Young Werther and Serpentine have raced against far superior opposition in the spring. YW gets Damian Lane , Serpentine is a front running dry tracker trained by Watherhouse. Can they get off the plane and produce in the heat ? It’s an ask but if they cope they must be right in the mix.
Diamond Scene has been very heavily backed last 48hrs and I’m putting him on top. Serpentine heavy place the other play. SRM Diamond Top 2 , Serpentine Top 4
Happy New Year & Good Luck!
Best Bet Bunbury r5 Only Us ; Has run 3 2nd’s in a row including 1 in this class , at this track and distance when beating today’s fav home. On the 3 day back up which the trainer has had success with in the past .
Bunbury r7 Magnasonic ; Back to his home track where he has started 3 times for 2 wins and a second and is reigning Horse of the Year. Technically up in grade to a c5 , he is still up near the top of the weights as the top weight is also a c2 and it’s a evenly rated field of 7. My wish is that he jumps cleanly and crosses the two on his inside and takes a sit on likely leader The Great Hoya . The three favourites will all be coming at the leaders but all 3 may also need a touch further (hopefully) , to reel us in. $7 / $3 is about right (Pay 1 & 2) to have a small bet on a each way basis
SRM Magnasonic Top 3 , Wicked Venom Top 2 .
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Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Papavero Princess ; She’s 2/2 this campaign and she’s won them easily. This is a harder race but the other nice types can mix their form whereas this mare is in the zone.
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Best Bet Geraldton r 7 Starring Knight ; First start in the region he beat a similar field convincingly over 1200m. Considering he was pulling away from them late , the extra 200m shouldn’t be a problem .
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Pinjarra r4 The Boss Lady ; The drop back 100m in distance, map and weights favour Rockin Rupert however I think the small field and long Pinjarra straight will allow her to go on her winning ways.
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2/3 of Today’s BEST BETS have been backed into odds on so I’m suggesting a Trixie . Basically taking all doubles and the treble combinations , ie 2/3 win is a collect , all 3 is a decent win.
Bunbury r2 De Grandhome ; Dropping in grade and weight from a very encouraging debut. The shortest of the 3 , hopefully the “good thing” banker to get us off to a flyer.
Bunbury r4 Coondle ; The form around he’s last 3 starts has really stood up for a c1. Nonesospicy & Rissoles are now both Saturday winners . Think it can take a sit on the fav and use the extra 200m to get the upper hand . The 3kg claim really helps. This one is the value @ $3.80 for those who want to just back a single horse.
Bunbury r6 Go Go Grommet ; Can be tricky trusting straight track form back around a bend however they were stronger races , he’s flying , drawn well and is 1/1 at Bunbury. Hopefully were going for 3/3 , if not I think $1,90 is actually the Best Bet of the meeting.
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Best Bet Ascot r3 Kisses From Kelly ; Was only 2nd up last start and he beat a very similar field. The only thing that could stop him is the extra 2kg pushing him over the 60kg mark to 60.5 but I’m counting on the extra fitness and CJP who is riding as good as anyone in the state at the moment to give him a soft run from the ideal gate.
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Best Bet Bunbury r8 Dreamtime Jean ; A repeat of last start 4th , beaten less than a length in the Grandstand Cup over 1500m wins this easier race. Drawn to lead or sit close and back 100m helps.
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Best Bet Ascot r6 Sentimental Hero ; Tried as a stayer for the first time as a 7yo , this horse has excelled at the caper and now heads towards the Perth Cup as one of the favourites. The 4kg rise in the weights is an ask but he won so easily and has the barrier / map advantage over key rival Diamond Scene.
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Best Bet Geraldton r3 Special Plan ; Hoping the win at start 12 gives her the confidence to go on with it and progress through the grades. This is a thin c2 and her win was dominant. She is versatile enough to lead or take a sit pace and pattern pending. Maximum Impact’s current form is good enough to win this , 1 from 47 makes me confident the fav can go back to back.
Best Value Geraldton r5 Prince Ragnar ; Speedster who seems to run for Cooper and all 3 runs at Gero this prep have been top class for a $8 chance. The extra 113m is the query but dry Geraldton usually plays quick from the front and it looks great each way value.
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