Weekend Winners

Best Value Ascot r2 Frantic War returns to the big smoke for a crack at getting us into the winners bar on a Saturday and we think he will run a great race at juicy odds. He brings Great Southern 70+ form which more than stacks up in this line up and is drawn the fence to hold his position , most likely leaders back , in what is expected to be a blistering early tempo . Similar scenario happened at Albany last start and had he got the run he would have bolted in . If Luke can get into the open in the straight then he can play a role in the finish.

10% win 90% Place ; Worth a heavy place bet on the map he should get and base your novelties on Cessation (Top 2) Frantic War (Top 4)

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r1 Nicely Played : $1.75 into $1.16 and never let backers down last start in a 1100m maiden at Bunbury. $2.10 in a 3yoomwly with money coming for Hez Got The Safe . With the way Chris Parnham is going and the map suggesting the filly will dictate terms over 1000m , he would have to reel off a spectacular finishing burst to run her down. Very keen and think those who loaded up last time will see her eventually jump in the red again , if not more for us.

Jockey Challenge Chris Parnham ; No market yet and most likely too short to worry about but all his rides are in the market and Pike only has 2 rides so he should be winning . I’ll update when the market is open.

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r7 Fanz ; Since winning at Narrogin 5 starts ago , it has run 4 solid races in better fields than it meets today. $3.20 is a lot shorter tan recent sp’s and I’d prefer an extra 100m to run them down but I still think it can get the job done.

Bunbury R8 Catch The Red Eye ; Was heavily backed 2 back and led until the shadows of the post when run down by Magnasonic , much to the delight of Lucky Ducks ! Fanz ran a fast finishing 4th in the same race so if he franks the form , confidence grows. Forget last start when not able to get anywhere near the lead and had no luck whatsoever . If he finds the front he looks the goods . Under Influence is the best horse in it , maps very awkwardly for an apprentice from the wide draw.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r3 Supernatural ; Has finished off hard last two starts over 1200m , winning a 3yo plate and then a close up 5th in a quality line up despite a checkered path in the straight. Providing you can make ground down the outside she has a finishing burst that can run these down at the bottom of the weights.

Pinjarra r9 Just Saint James ; There is crazy speed drawn across the track in this 1000m straight race hence we look for a swooper. 2 time winner at the unique track and distance who is progressing nicely through the grades.

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Esperance Evaluation

Best Bet r1 True Chance ; Is going for 6 in a row and drops 4.5kgs due to the presence of Uncompromised in the field . Market can’t split them but the weight differential over the distance has me firmly in his corner.

R5 Zebedee Springs ; Only has to hold it’s rating from WA debut win to be very competitive here . Any improvement and it just wins .

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Bunbury Best Bet

Bunbury r2 Sir Duskin ; Was trialing well before a luckless first up run , made amends by running down a short priced favourite from last 2nd up. Has 60kgs this time in our wonderful ratings system however looks suited out to the 1200m 3rd up. Lombadina is the hardest to beat , not sure she should be odds on but the early market moves prefer her . Perhaps the 2 trainer jockey combo’s are something to do with the price differential , hopefully more money for us.

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Wednesday Winners

Ascot r5 Territory Man ; Good debut win over 1400m , clearly has more upside than anything else in this . Hopefully being 4 weeks between runs means he is fresh enough to stay at 1400 as it looks like he will be better over further. Has had good early market support which is always a good sign . Thermosphere Lad is the hardest to run down for quinella punters .

Best Bet Ascot r8 Twighlight Tale ; Almost a copy and paste job from above , this time a 3yo filly who won on debut over 1500m who has more upside than the rest and will only get better as the distances increase . Regally bred Peter’s Investments filly most likely on an Oaks path , she should be able to run them down from a midfield stalking position.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Play Fair ; First attempt at a staying trip saw this 3yo son of Playing God put a c1 field to the sword with a big turn of foot from the back. Has way more upside then anything else , just has to handle the 59.5kgs and the heat to win this. Blazing Tycoon has won 9 races and 235k , the 9yo wound back the clock and was beaten under a length this track , grade and trip last start. Looks the insurance bet or novelty value .

Best Each Way Ascot r2 Hit The Jackpot ; Connections have done just that lately with this gelding who is going for 4 on the bounce after confidence boosting back to back wins at Albany , followed by a remarkable victory down the Pinjarra straight when drifting from the outside fence to the inside and winning by over 3 lengths. He will almost definitely lead this field from the gate and the favourite Essentric Nature will be closer to last. 1200m is a query but he wasn’t stopping last time and he might just have a big enough break to hang on at an each way qoute.

Best Value Ascot r9 Magnasonic ; Crucified by the handicapper from his last win , we head to Saturday Graduation company for the first time lumped with 59.5kgs and barrier 7/9. There is very good speed engaged however with Sunlit Fresco likely to run them along with pressure from Rapid Rock & Cross Statement . Inform hoop Chris Parnham will be looking for cover and a back to follow into the home straight , before unleashing over the last 200m . The compressed weight scale with us topweight indicates a very evenly rated field and the market doesn’t rate our chances at $17/ $3.70 That seems very generous for a last start c5 winner comparative to the other form in the race.

10% win 90% place. Happy to have a go at the place here with the win odds big enough to go heavy place . Looks a great novelty race .

1.​3.​5/1.​3.​4.​5.​8/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​8/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​7.​8

$10 quinella , $12 exacta , $60 Trifecta , $300 first 4. (100% flexi reccomended)

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r4 Smooth Chino ; He is as green as grass but richly talented and 1/1 in a very limited field . Hard to do a lot wrong and win over 1000m so hopefully he improves with racing experience and justifies the even money. It looks overs in this to be honest.

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Weekend Winners

Ascot r3 Want A Winner ; Won on debut march last year and hasn’t been seen since. Trials like a good horse and while Snow God looks well above average , his debut win indicated the 1000m might be a bit sharp for him in this company , especially at the odds differential.

Best Bet Ascot r10 Bonjoy ; Always had an opinion of this mare , 10/17 why wouldn’t you ? Her last win when 5 weeks between runs off a foot abscess however has really stamped her as a genuine A Grader. She puts in every time she steps out and today she should be cherry ripe for a peak performance.

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Albany Mail

Best Bet Albany 2 Cocoon Girl ; Massive plunge went agonizingly close on debut when she made a run from the back and missed by a freckle. Small , limited field , extra 200m look to be in her favor , you just have to be willing to take the $2.20 this time.

Albany r5 Frantic War ; After getting his thoroughly deserved win at Mt Barker recently , Frantic War returns home to Albany to tackle 70+ grade over 1100m. Go back to the 16th of November and he ran a brave 2nd to today’s favourite Avoidance , with them dueling down the entire straight and we missed on the bob. Both horses have gone on with it since and this time we have a 3kg swing in the weights. We have drawn inside him and outside the other noted front runner in Agent Jay . Fair to say the sparks are going to be flying early ! If this was 1000m I’d be very bullish he goes back to back. Where he lands and how much work he does compared to the other two will play a big part in the result.

For big punters I suggest 20/80 % split of stake where the place will cover your bet. For the everyday punter a small win bet would be suffice.

SRM Frantic War Top 2 , Avoidance Top 3 .

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Pinny Punts

Best Each Way Pinjarra r2 Finally Reel ; Ran 2nd on debut at 40s , beating home yesterday’s winner Sir Duskin. Ungoverned was $8 in yesterday’s race before being scratched in preference for this. Considering the price differential ( $3 vs $6 ) I’ll take the proven race form on an each way basis.

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Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r4 Hang Glider ; 3 speed horses via for the lead , Mcgruddy camps on them , hopefully gets a split and bursts through to victory. He has Joker’s Grin form , he would start long odds on in this. Scratchings leaving a field of 6 makes it difficult to bet each way but probably still the best option.

Best Bet Ascot r9 Memory Parade ; Gets out to a suitable trip and ready to peak 3rd up , drawn to get the run of the race.

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Pinny Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Made In Mexico ; His 3 wins from 9 starts have been first up (2) and 2nd up , including first up down the Pinjarra straight . Here he presents first up and drawn to find the outside fence where he can dominate them from the front .

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Promising ; Had too much pace for them down the Pinjarra straight 1000m then backed up quickly to a 3yo plate which has produced winners since . She ran 3rd in that race despite not having much luck and back to a midweek c1 she looks perfectly placed to lead them a merry dance.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Mt Barker r3 Parc It In Here ; Spanish Kat is a 13 start maiden who has run 3 2nds up in trip , leading in weak staying maidens. Parc finishes his races off and has won 1/4 , if he runs out the trip I think he can run over the top and win comfortably.

Mt Barker r5 Frantic War ; Could honestly copy and paste these from all prep. Barriers 1 , 2 , 3 and 5 are speed horses which leaves us doing all the work from 5 again. Does He Know (1) kicked up under us two back before compounding , This’ll Show Ya (2) has led and won in c5 company this prep and Blue Line (3) can be hit and miss from the barriers but the apprentice on rarely rides for a sit if possible. Frantic War has been to Barker once and failed , it is a quirky track that plenty don’t handle , but he comes here thriving off the quick back up and no horse deserves a win more than him.

He has been hammered into equal favouritism in early betting, novelties might be the go.

1 3 6 , 1 3 6 , 1 3 6 , field.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Aintsobad ; Rare for a horse to win a maiden , c1 and c3 on the bounce and that’s exactly what this 5yo mare has done . Each win has been by a comfortable margin and while there is decent speed engaged , she should be up there without having to burn too much energy early.

Best Value Bunbury r8 Rusty Dreams ; Hasn’t had much luck through a long campaign but was good last start over 1800m. She;s better suited over 1500m and should get a lovely run from the draw. I’m a huge Bonjoy fan , just hard to trust a favourite off 5 weeks due to a foot abcess and Rusty’s price of $17 / $4.25 is too big vs $3.30 a win under those circumstances.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Cessaation ; Drawing to find the outside fence first down the Pinjarra straight 1000m is a massive advantage to a horse who already has a great track & distance record.

Pinjarra r9 Our Mate Archie ; Lightly raced 4yo who’s early stats indicate he improves sufficiently enough 2nd up to be winning today . Not much between him and the favourite Soso Lucky so i’ll take the better odds with the knowledge he has come back in good order whereas the fav is resuming off heavy track wins.

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Weekend Winners

Best Value Ascot r8 Oxbridge ; This Great Southern speedster is in career best form and still seems to be on an upward spiral , remarkable for an 8yo. I concede this field has much more depth than the Summer Scorcher however this time I think he finds the front and on the minimum he takes running down.

Albany r5 Frantic War; Has done all the donkey work in the breeze last three starts . Ran in a 70+, finishing a nose 2nd to Avoidance who has since placed in Ascot Graduation company , won a OMWLY at Pinjarra and run 4th in the Fitzpatrick Plate . Then bumped into Oxbridge who went on to win the Summer Scorcher and finally dropped to 58+ grade and got touched off on the line by Flick The Switch who is airborne and she somehow found our back from the outside gate and got the perfect run. Frustratingly he has drawn outside a number of on pace horses once again and looks destined for another tough run. Demito only knows one way , Vonsip , Hot Chatter , Blue Line (providing he jumps ) all race handy. Going well enough to win this and deserves it , just worried how much fuel gets burnt early as he races better being put into the race early.

For those wanting to bet I suggest a 25/75% split of your stake for serious punters or a small win bet for the hobbyists.

Good Luck Connections & Followers

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Wednesday Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r4 Cherry Can Run ; Was unlucky , charging through traffic first up , In clear air 2nd up she put them to the sword. Both were 1200m c3’s like today which is also restricted to fillies & mares , so if she maintains that form the $9 looks juicy enough to play each way.

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